Speed Climbing

The IFSC standard 15 m route — reproduced from the published specification, not copied from a game.

You0.00
Rival--.--
Best--.--
Slips0 / 3
Ready
At your marks

Tap the wall or the Climb button (or press Space, F, J or ↑) to start and to commit each of the eight sections. R restarts. Starting sooner than 0.100 s after the signal is a false start — that is the actual IFSC rule, article 9.12(A)(1), not a game mechanic.

What the model says, and what actually limits it

The route is fixed, so a record time implies an average vertical speed and nothing else is free. This app solves the other direction: given the published geometry and one calibrated elite body, how fast can the climb be, and which limit is the one that stops it being faster?

6.844 s — 6.714 s of climbing plus a 0.130 s reaction, for a 70 kg climber with an 0.80 m arm and a 1.02 m leg. The centre of mass rises 12.288 m at a mean 1.830 m/s.

For comparison the current world records are 4.54 s (Zhao Yicheng, 10 May 2026) and 5.99 s (Emma Hunt, 4 July 2026). The model's climber would have to have every capability scaled by ×1.52 to run the men's record and ×1.11 to run the women's.

The answer is not force, and it is not one thing

Raising each capability by 6% one at a time and re-solving gives these elasticities MEASURED — d(ln T)/d(ln p), so more negative means that knob buys more speed:

Sensitivity of the finish time to each capability
CapabilityElasticityReading
Foot-hold adhesion (big holds)−0.343the largest capability lever
Foot friction coefficient−0.301second, and the same mechanism
Limb repositioning speed−0.255third, and a different mechanism
Arm isometric force−0.209fourth
Arm contraction velocity−0.129the arms' power, not just their force
Transverse limb capacity−0.092steering the body sideways
Small foot-hold adhesion−0.088minor
Leg isometric force−0.008almost exactly nothing
Leg contraction velocity+0.0005exactly nothing
Hand friction coefficient0.0000exactly nothing
Hand-hold adhesion0.0000exactly nothing
Body mass+0.752the largest lever of all, and the wrong way

Neither leg strength nor hand grip appears in the answer at all. Leg isometric force has an elasticity of −0.008 and leg contraction velocity of +0.0005; hand-hold friction and hand-hold adhesion are 0.0000 to four decimal places. The structure underneath is a cross: what binds at the feet is the hold (friction and adhesion), and what binds at the hands is the limb (force and contraction velocity). A leg is never the thing that gives way — long before the muscle runs out, the foothold does — and a hand's grip on a big incut jug is never the thing that gives way either, because the arm behind it saturates first. Buying leg strength or stickier shoes for the hands would change this climb by less than a millisecond.

The second mechanism is the limb reconfiguration rate at −0.255. Of the 45 limb moves in the modelled ascent, MEASURED 11 are limited by nothing except the time it takes to throw the limb to the next hold, accounting for 1.441 s of the 6.714 s climb. Twenty-eight moves are limited by the contact cone (4.690 s), five are ballistic — three limbs cannot hold the body statically at all and its own momentum carries it (0.386 s) — and exactly one is limited by how hard a limb can push sideways (0.197 s).

Where this corrects what it was told, and what it corrects in print

The obvious question is: Is the limiter contact force, limb reconfiguration rate, reaction time, something else — and does your answer survive the sensitivity checks? The measurements say that framing is incomplete in two ways.

Corrections to published sources

Where the published specification does not decide the answer

The convergence table behind that answer

Every number above depends on a discretisation, so none of it is reported without showing it survives refinement. MEASURED

Finish time (s) against each discretisation parameter
Samples per moveTPose-solver capT
36.814274006.84420
66.8142710006.84420
126.8383930006.84420
246.8442060006.84420
486.84568200006.84420
966.84605——
Finish time (s) against limb stiffness and torso segment count
Limb stiffness (N/m)TTorso segmentsT
8 000no solution16.84420
20 0007.1018726.84420
42 0006.8442046.84420
120 0006.7909186.84420
400 0006.78964246.84420
2 000 0006.78964646.84420

Sampling converges to 0.027% between 24 and 96 samples per move. The pose solver is exactly iteration-independent, which it was not in the first version: annealing over a fixed sweep count made the answer oscillate by six per cent between 60, 120, 240 and 480 iterations because each count landed in a different local minimum. A discretisation that does not converge cannot be believed, and that one was caught only by tabulating it.

Two honest negatives. The torso segment count does not move the answer at all across a 64-fold refinement — every row is 6.84420 — because rotational inertia never becomes the binding constraint anywhere on this route. Saying so is more useful than quoting a converged number as if it had been in doubt. Limb stiffness converges upward to 6.790 s, so an infinitely stiff limb would be 0.8% faster than the modelled one; at 8 000 N/m the limb is so compliant that one move has no solution at all and the climb does not complete.

A third check does not pass cleanly, and it should not. Scaling every force capability by f² and every velocity by f is an exact time-rescaling of the whole problem except for gravity, which does not scale. The product T×f is therefore expected to drift, and it does: 7.238, 6.797, 6.844, 6.336, 6.086 for f = 0.8 to 1.25. The drift is the gravity term's signature, and a model that passed this test exactly would be wrong.

Provenance

Every quantity in this app carries one of six markers. The counts below are recomputed from the shipped files by the page harness, so the tally cannot drift from the code.

Tag counts are recounted from the shipped files by the page harness, so this page cannot claim a tally the code does not carry.

A blind spot, stated rather than hidden

The oracle that rebuilds the climb from emitted positions alone closes an energy budget, and that budget is homogeneous of degree one in body mass — work, kinetic energy and potential energy all scale together — so it is structurally blind to a wrong mass. Only the second half of that oracle, which asks whether the reconstructed forces were ones the reconstructed contacts could actually have carried, can see it, because a force ceiling is not mass-proportional. The harness asserts the blind spot as a fact, so it cannot quietly stop being true.

What is faithful, and what is a decision of mine

Faithful to the specification

My decisions, not the specification's

Sources, and what could not be opened

World-record progression

23 men's and 23 women's records on the standardised 15 m wall, shipped exactly as published including the two internally inconsistent rows. qualified